We are holding a short course on elicitation of expert knowledge using SHELF, January 8-10, 2018.


Five PhD studentships are available at the Wellcome Trust Doctoral Training Centre for Public Health, Health Economics and Decision Science



Expert elicitation

Eliciting probability distributions to represent experts’ beliefs

Health economics

Applications of uncertainty quantification and expert elicitation in health economics

Uncertainty Quantification

Quantifying uncertainty in computer model predictions


All publications

A full list of publications is available on my Google Scholar page.

Selected recent papers

Efficient history matching of a high dimensional individual based HIV transmission model

Details JUQ

Eliciting judgements about uncertain population means and variances

Details PDF arXiv

Calibration of stochastic computer simulators using likelihood emulation

Details PDF Technometrics

PhD Supervision

Current PhD students

  • Younus Al-taweel
  • Jeremy Colman
  • Budhi Handoko
  • Oliver Jones (joint with ACSE)
  • Jordan Parry (joint with Mechanical Engineering)

Previous PhD students

See here for a list of previous PhD students, thesis titles, and links to theses online (where available).

Advice to PhD applicants

I aim to recruit one or two PhD students each year, and applications are welcome at any time. If you are considering applying to me to supervise your PhD, please read this advice first.